Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Herrera de Pisuerga: INDEPENDIENTES POR HERRERA would keep its majority

Herrera de Pisuerga (Palencia, 1,894 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

INDEPENDIENTES POR HERRERA+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 56.8% of the vote (2023: 52.8%) Majority 99%
PP−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 35.8% of the vote (2023: 35.3%) Majority 1%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Herrera de Pisuerga

Herrera de Pisuerga is a municipality in the province of Palencia with 1,894 inhabitants, the 12th largest of its 191 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 INDEPENDIENTES POR HERRERA came first with 52.8% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 4. 73.1% of the 1,590 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps INDEPENDIENTES POR HERRERA on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. INDEPENDIENTES POR HERRERALocal lists 52.8% → 56.8% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 35.3% → 35.8% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 7.4% → 4.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 3.7% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,162 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Herrera de Pisuerga in size, in Palencia

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