España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Aguilar de Campoo: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Aguilar de Campoo (Palencia, 6,646 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 40.3% of the vote (2023: 41.9%) Majority 15%
PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 38.1% of the vote (2023: 42.8%) Majority 6%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.1% of the vote (2023: 9.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 79% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Aguilar de Campoo

Aguilar de Campoo is a municipality in the province of Palencia with 6,646 inhabitants, the 2nd largest of its 191 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 42.8% of the vote and 6 seats; PP was second with 6. 66.3% of the 5,368 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 6 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 41.9% → 40.3% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 42.8% → 38.1% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 9.9% → 16.1% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 4.1% → 4.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,560 valid votes including 47 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Aguilar de Campoo in size, in Palencia

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