Lesaka: EH BILDU would keep its majority
Lesaka (Navarra, 2,752 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 94%EH BILDU majority
- 1,440valid votes in 2023 (66% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Lesaka
Lesaka is a municipality in the province of Navarra with 2,752 inhabitants, the 46th largest of its 234 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 58% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; GBAI was second with 4. 66% of the 2,183 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps EH BILDU on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 94% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 58.0% → 58.6% 7 → 7 councillors
- GBAILocal lists 39.6% → 39.0% 4 → 4 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,440 valid votes including 35 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.