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Leitza: EH BILDU would keep its majority

Leitza (Navarra, 3,029 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 80.2% of the vote (2023: 79.9%) Majority over 99%
UPN±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.2% of the vote (2023: 16.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Leitza

Leitza is a municipality in the province of Navarra with 3,029 inhabitants, the 38th largest of its 234 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 79.9% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; UPN was second with 2. 62.8% of the 2,297 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps EH BILDU on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 79.9% → 80.2% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. UPNUPN 16.6% → 16.2% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,442 valid votes including 51 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Leitza in size, in Navarra

Every municipality in Navarra → · All of Spain →