Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cortes: UPN would keep its majority

Cortes (Navarra, 3,184 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

UPN±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 49.2% of the vote (2023: 47.3%) Majority 78%
PSN-PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.1% of the vote (2023: 20.2%) Majority 0%
C.E.T.±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.1% of the vote (2023: 16.4%) Majority 0%
EH BILDU - CICO±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.9% of the vote (2023: 12.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 22% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. UPNUPN 47.3% → 49.2% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSN-PSOEPSOE 20.2% → 17.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. C.E.T.Local lists 16.4% → 17.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. EH BILDU - CICOLocal lists 12.4% → 12.9% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,736 valid votes including 64 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cortes in size, in Navarra

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