Cáseda: no list would have a majority, ASZC largest
Cáseda (Navarra, 946 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 696valid votes in 2023 (85% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ASZC±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 35.1% of the vote (2023: 35.1%)
Majority 0%
C.A.±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 34.3% of the vote (2023: 34.3%)
Majority under 1%
IC/KL±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 29.9% of the vote (2023: 29.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ASZCLocal lists 35.1% → 35.1% 3 → 3 councillors
- C.A.Local lists 34.3% → 34.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- IC/KLLocal lists 29.9% → 29.9% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 696 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.