Oteiza: MENDIBELZU would keep its majority
Oteiza (Navarra, 931 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%MENDIBELZU majority
- 541valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
MENDIBELZU±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 73.8% of the vote (2023: 74.3%)
Majority over 99%
EH BILDU±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 25.6% of the vote (2023: 25.1%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- MENDIBELZULocal lists 74.3% → 73.8% 5 → 5 councillors
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 25.1% → 25.6% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 541 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.