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Villanueva del Río Segura: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Villanueva del Río Segura (Murcia, 3,469 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 45.0% of the vote (2023: 50.6%) Majority 29%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 31.8% of the vote (2023: 33.6%) Majority under 1%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 22.3% of the vote (2023: 14.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 70% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 50.6% → 45.0% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 33.6% → 31.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 14.9% → 22.3% 1 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,742 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Villanueva del Río Segura in size, in Murcia

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