España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Totana: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Totana (Murcia, 32,329 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 27.9% of the vote (2023: 28.9%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
6 councillors (2023: 4) · 25.4% of the vote (2023: 16.8%) Majority 0%
GT−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 22.8% of the vote (2023: 27.5%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 16.1% of the vote (2023: 19.3%) Majority 0%
LP-VXT+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 5.0% of the vote (2023: 4.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 28.9% → 27.9% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. VOXVox 16.8% → 25.4% 4 → 6 councillors
  3. GTSumar, Podemos and allies 27.5% → 22.8% 6 → 5 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 19.3% → 16.1% 4 → 3 councillors
  5. LP-VXTLocal lists 4.9% → 5.0% 0 → 1 councillors
  6. VALORESLocal lists 0.9% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. MLLocal lists 0.9% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 13,857 valid votes including 115 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Totana in size, in Murcia

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