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Ricote: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Ricote (Murcia, 1,275 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 46.7% of the vote (2023: 47.6%) Majority 41%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 41.8% of the vote (2023: 46.1%) Majority 22%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.7% of the vote (2023: 5.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 37% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Ricote

Ricote is a municipality in the province of Murcia with 1,275 inhabitants, the 42nd largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 47.6% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 78.7% of the 1,065 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 4 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 47.6% → 46.7% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 46.1% → 41.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 5.6% → 10.7% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 838 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ricote in size, in Murcia

Every municipality in Murcia → · All of Spain →