Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Ricote: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Ricote (Murcia, 1,275 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 46.7% of the vote (2023: 47.6%) Majority 41%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 41.8% of the vote (2023: 46.1%) Majority 22%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.7% of the vote (2023: 5.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 37% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 47.6% → 46.7% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 46.1% → 41.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 5.6% → 10.7% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 838 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ricote in size, in Murcia

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