España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Molina de Segura: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Molina de Segura (Murcia, 74,762 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−2
9 councillors (2023: 11) · 34.4% of the vote (2023: 38.4%) Majority 2%
PP±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 31.3% of the vote (2023: 32.4%) Majority under 1%
VOX+2
7 councillors (2023: 5) · 26.2% of the vote (2023: 17.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 38.4% → 34.4% 11 → 9 councillors
  2. PPPP 32.4% → 31.3% 9 → 9 councillors
  3. VOXVox 17.5% → 26.2% 5 → 7 councillors
  4. URBACLocal lists 4.6% → 4.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 1.1% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. IUV-MR-VESumar, Podemos and allies 2.7% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. POR MI REGIÓNLocal lists 0.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. P.C.P.E.Local lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 1.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 33,707 valid votes including 294 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Molina de Segura in size, in Murcia

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