Cieza: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
Cieza (Murcia, 35,298 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 92%no list with a majority
- 15,505valid votes in 2023 (60% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 92% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Cieza
Cieza is a municipality in the province of Murcia with 35,298 inhabitants, the 8th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 39.4% of the vote and 9 seats; PP was second with 9. 59.6% of the 25,998 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 9 of 21.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 39.4% → 36.0% 9 → 9 councillors
- PPPP 35.7% → 35.4% 9 → 8 councillors
- VOXVox 12.3% → 19.8% 3 → 4 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 3.1% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- IU-VSumar, Podemos and allies 4.8% → 2.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- UCINLocal lists 1.1% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- FE DE LAS JONSLocal lists 0.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.1% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 15,505 valid votes including 154 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.