Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Macharaviaya: PSOE-A would keep its majority

Macharaviaya (Málaga, 513 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 66.4% of the vote (2023: 64.9%) Majority over 99%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 17.2% of the vote (2023: 16.6%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.1% of the vote (2023: 18.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 64.9% → 66.4% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 16.6% → 17.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  3. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 18.2% → 16.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 308 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Macharaviaya in size, in Málaga

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