Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Montecorto: PSOE-A would keep its majority

Montecorto (Málaga, 582 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 56.3% of the vote (2023: 58.0%) Majority 94%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 32.0% of the vote (2023: 31.3%) Majority 1%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 58.0% → 56.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 31.3% → 32.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. POR MI PUEBLOLocal lists 10.0% → 11.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 419 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Montecorto in size, in Málaga

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