Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Igualeja: POR MI PUEBLO would keep its majority

Igualeja (Málaga, 729 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

POR MI PUEBLO±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 51.1% of the vote (2023: 47.1%) Majority 93%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 27.0% of the vote (2023: 26.7%) Majority 0%
PSOE-A±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.6% of the vote (2023: 17.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 7% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. POR MI PUEBLOLocal lists 47.1% → 51.1% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 26.7% → 27.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOE-APSOE 17.0% → 14.6% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. I.M.I.Sumar, Podemos and allies 6.0% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 3.0% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 599 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Igualeja in size, in Málaga

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