Carratraca: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Carratraca (Málaga, 718 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 50%no list with a majority
- 529valid votes in 2023 (85% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 44.9% of the vote (2023: 41.2%)
Majority 33%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 41.6% of the vote (2023: 43.7%)
Majority 17%
PSOE-A±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 13.3% of the vote (2023: 14.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 50% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 41.2% → 44.9% 3 → 3 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 43.7% → 41.6% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 14.9% → 13.3% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 529 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.