Carratraca: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Carratraca (Málaga, 718 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 50%no list with a majority
- 529valid votes in 2023 (85% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 50% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Carratraca
Carratraca is a municipality in the province of Málaga with 718 inhabitants, the 82nd largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CON ANDALUCÍA came first with 43.7% of the vote and 3 seats; PP was second with 3. 85.2% of the 621 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CON ANDALUCÍA would be largest on 3 of 7.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 41.2% → 44.9% 3 → 3 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 43.7% → 41.6% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 14.9% → 13.3% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 529 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.