Serrato: PSOE-A would keep its majority
Serrato (Málaga, 458 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 83%PSOE-A majority
- 363valid votes in 2023 (91% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE-A±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 56.1% of the vote (2023: 58.7%)
Majority 83%
MXS±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 43.6% of the vote (2023: 40.5%)
Majority 17%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 58.7% → 56.1% 4 → 4 councillors
- MXSLocal lists 40.5% → 43.6% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 0.6% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 363 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.