Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Benalauría: PP would keep its majority

Benalauría (Málaga, 434 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 51.2% of the vote (2023: 50.5%) Majority 80%
AEB±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 29.1% of the vote (2023: 27.2%) Majority 0%
PSOE-A±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 19.1% of the vote (2023: 21.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 20% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 50.5% → 51.2% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. AEBLocal lists 27.2% → 29.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOE-APSOE 21.7% → 19.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 327 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Benalauría in size, in Málaga

Every municipality in Málaga → · All of Spain →