Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Humilladero: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Humilladero (Málaga, 3,282 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 37.6% of the vote (2023: 34.9%) Majority 3%
PSOE-A±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 34.0% of the vote (2023: 34.5%) Majority 1%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 27.2% of the vote (2023: 29.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 96% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Humilladero

Humilladero is a municipality in the province of Málaga with 3,282 inhabitants, the 42nd largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 34.9% of the vote and 4 seats; PSOE-A was second with 4. 74.2% of the 2,683 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 4 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 34.9% → 37.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 34.5% → 34.0% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 29.4% → 27.2% 3 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,992 valid votes including 23 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Humilladero in size, in Málaga

Every municipality in Málaga → · All of Spain →