Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Sierra de Yeguas: PP would keep its majority

Sierra de Yeguas (Málaga, 3,393 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 49.8% of the vote (2023: 51.9%) Majority 71%
PSOE-A−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.5% of the vote (2023: 27.5%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.0% of the vote (2023: 9.9%) Majority 0%
X SIERRA DE YEGUAS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.9% of the vote (2023: 9.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 29% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 51.9% → 49.8% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 27.5% → 23.5% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 9.9% → 16.0% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. X SIERRA DE YEGUASLocal lists 9.8% → 9.9% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,972 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sierra de Yeguas in size, in Málaga

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