Coín: PP would keep its majority
Coín (Málaga, 24,309 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 70%PP majority
- 9,429valid votes in 2023 (60% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
12
councillors (2023: 11) · 49.2% of the vote (2023: 49.4%)
Majority 70%
PSOE-A−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 24.2% of the vote (2023: 27.4%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 11.6% of the vote (2023: 6.2%)
Majority 0%
UA±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 8.9% of the vote (2023: 8.5%)
Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 4.7% of the vote (2023: 7.1%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 30% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 49.4% → 49.2% 11 → 12 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 27.4% → 24.2% 6 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 6.2% → 11.6% 1 → 2 councillors
- UALocal lists 8.5% → 8.9% 2 → 2 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 7.1% → 4.7% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,429 valid votes including 124 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.