Casabermeja: no list would have a majority, CON ANDALUCÍA largest
Casabermeja (Málaga, 3,813 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 88%no list with a majority
- 2,120valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 88% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Casabermeja
Casabermeja is a municipality in the province of Málaga with 3,813 inhabitants, the 34th largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CON ANDALUCÍA came first with 40.1% of the vote and 5 seats; PSOE-A was second with 4. 71.3% of the 2,975 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CON ANDALUCÍA would be largest on 5 of 11.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 40.1% → 38.3% 5 → 5 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 34.9% → 34.9% 4 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 20.2% → 21.6% 2 → 2 councillors
- CASABERMEJA EN POSITIVOLocal lists 3.2% → 3.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,120 valid votes including 34 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.