Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cuevas de San Marcos: PP would keep its majority

Cuevas de San Marcos (Málaga, 3,632 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 58.3% of the vote (2023: 54.5%) Majority 95%
PSOE-A±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 27.0% of the vote (2023: 28.3%) Majority under 1%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.8% of the vote (2023: 16.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 54.5% → 58.3% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 28.3% → 27.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 16.2% → 13.8% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,241 valid votes including 21 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cuevas de San Marcos in size, in Málaga

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