Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Benaoján: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Benaoján (Málaga, 1,459 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 37.7% of the vote (2023: 40.2%) Majority 2%
A.P.B.+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 30.9% of the vote (2023: 28.7%) Majority 0%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 30.8% of the vote (2023: 30.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 40.2% → 37.7% 4 → 3 councillors
  2. A.P.B.Local lists 28.7% → 30.9% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 30.5% → 30.8% 3 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 966 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Benaoján in size, in Málaga

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