Valdetorres de Jarama: no list would have a majority, APV largest
Valdetorres de Jarama (Madrid, 4,830 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 51%no list with a majority
- 2,578valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 51% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Valdetorres de Jarama
Valdetorres de Jarama is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 4,830 inhabitants, the 83rd largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 APV came first with 42% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 70.8% of the 3,640 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: APV would be largest on 5 of 11.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- APVLocal lists 42.0% → 43.7% 6 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 25.6% → 24.8% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 6.1% → 11.4% 0 → 1 councillors
- VIVLocal lists 8.0% → 8.4% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 10.5% → 7.8% 1 → 1 councillors
- MM-VQ VALDETORRES DE JARAMASumar, Podemos and allies 5.5% → 3.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOS-IUSumar, Podemos and allies 1.6% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,578 valid votes including 19 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.