Valdaracete: PP would win a majority
Valdaracete (Madrid, 627 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 62%PP majority
- 437valid votes in 2023 (83% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Valdaracete
Valdaracete is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 627 inhabitants, the 146th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 48.5% of the vote and 3 seats; PSOE was second with 4. 82.8% of the 528 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 62% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 48.5% → 48.2% 3 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 48.5% → 44.7% 4 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 2.1% → 6.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 437 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.