Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Valdepiélagos: CIV would keep its majority

Valdepiélagos (Madrid, 621 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CIV−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 67.0% of the vote (2023: 70.6%) Majority over 99%
VPV±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 18.4% of the vote (2023: 19.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 12.0% of the vote (2023: 7.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CIVLocal lists 70.6% → 67.0% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. VPVLocal lists 19.3% → 18.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.4% → 12.0% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. ESCAÑOS EN BLANCOLocal lists 1.4% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 367 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Valdepiélagos in size, in Madrid

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