Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Valdaracete: PP would win a majority

Valdaracete (Madrid, 627 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 48.2% of the vote (2023: 48.5%) Majority 62%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 44.7% of the vote (2023: 48.5%) Majority 38%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 48.5% → 48.2% 3 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 48.5% → 44.7% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 2.1% → 6.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 437 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Valdaracete in size, in Madrid

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