Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Torrejón de Velasco: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Torrejón de Velasco (Madrid, 4,685 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 40.1% of the vote (2023: 43.4%) Majority 28%
VOX+2
5 councillors (2023: 3) · 38.0% of the vote (2023: 28.1%) Majority 18%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 11.5% of the vote (2023: 15.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 53% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Torrejón de Velasco

Torrejón de Velasco is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 4,685 inhabitants, the 86th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 43.4% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; VOX was second with 3. 71.1% of the 3,572 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 43.4% → 40.1% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. VOXVox 28.1% → 38.0% 3 → 5 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 15.2% → 11.5% 2 → 1 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 4.4% → 4.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 7.0% → 4.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,541 valid votes including 45 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Torrejón de Velasco in size, in Madrid

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