Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Torrejón de Ardoz: PP would keep its majority

Torrejón de Ardoz (Madrid, 134,733 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
21 councillors (2023: 21) · 68.2% of the vote (2023: 66.3%) Majority over 99%
PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 14.1% of the vote (2023: 16.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
2 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.0% of the vote (2023: 3.3%) Majority 0%
MÁS MADRID−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.0% of the vote (2023: 6.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Torrejón de Ardoz

Torrejón de Ardoz is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 134,733 inhabitants, the 8th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 27 seats, and 14 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 66.3% of the vote and 21 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 5. 64.5% of the 98,859 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 21 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 66.3% → 68.2% 21 → 21 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 16.6% → 14.1% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 3.3% → 8.0% 0 → 2 councillors
  4. MÁS MADRIDSumar, Podemos and allies 6.2% → 4.0% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 4.5% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. CONTIGOLocal lists 1.7% → 1.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. CSCiudadanos 0.4% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 63,788 valid votes including 589 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Torrejón de Ardoz in size, in Madrid

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