Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

San Agustín del Guadalix: no list would have a majority, PP largest

San Agustín del Guadalix (Madrid, 13,608 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 42.8% of the vote (2023: 45.3%) Majority 31%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.7% of the vote (2023: 11.4%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 17.5% of the vote (2023: 21.3%) Majority 0%
SOMOSV±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 10.2% of the vote (2023: 10.3%) Majority 0%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.8% of the vote (2023: 9.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 69% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 45.3% → 42.8% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. VOXVox 11.4% → 17.7% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 21.3% → 17.5% 4 → 3 councillors
  4. SOMOSVLocal lists 10.3% → 10.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 9.8% → 9.8% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,446 valid votes including 130 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near San Agustín del Guadalix in size, in Madrid

Every municipality in Madrid → · All of Spain →