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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Madrid

Robledo de Chavela: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Robledo de Chavela (Madrid, 4,587 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 36.6% of the vote (2023: 37.1%) Majority 11%
UPPR±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.9% of the vote (2023: 21.0%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.7% of the vote (2023: 17.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 9.3% of the vote (2023: 4.5%) Majority 0%
PRU±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.0% of the vote (2023: 8.6%) Majority 0%
PODEMOS-IU-AV−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.0% of the vote (2023: 9.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 89% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Robledo de Chavela

Robledo de Chavela is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 4,587 inhabitants, the 87th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 37.1% of the vote and 5 seats; UPPR was second with 2. 70.5% of the 3,624 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 37.1% → 36.6% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. UPPRLocal lists 21.0% → 21.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 17.6% → 14.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 4.5% → 9.3% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. PRULocal lists 8.6% → 9.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 9.7% → 7.0% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,555 valid votes including 39 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Robledo de Chavela in size, in Madrid

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