Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Valdeolmos-Alalpardo: PP would keep its majority

Valdeolmos-Alalpardo (Madrid, 4,396 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
8 councillors (2023: 7) · 58.6% of the vote (2023: 59.2%) Majority over 99%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.0% of the vote (2023: 8.1%) Majority 0%
MM-VQ SUMANDO PARA TOD@S±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.8% of the vote (2023: 14.0%) Majority 0%
IVAM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.0% of the vote (2023: 9.7%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.8% of the vote (2023: 7.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 59.2% → 58.6% 7 → 8 councillors
  2. VOXVox 8.1% → 14.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  3. MM-VQ SUMANDO PARA TOD@SSumar, Podemos and allies 14.0% → 10.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. IVAMLocal lists 9.7% → 10.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PSOEPSOE 7.5% → 4.8% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,248 valid votes including 38 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Valdeolmos-Alalpardo in size, in Madrid

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