Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Talamanca de Jarama: PSOE would keep its majority

Talamanca de Jarama (Madrid, 4,210 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 57.4% of the vote (2023: 59.6%) Majority 99%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.9% of the vote (2023: 20.9%) Majority 0%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.2% of the vote (2023: 7.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 59.6% → 57.4% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. PPPP 20.9% → 20.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.8% → 14.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. MM-VQ TALAMANCA DEL JARAMASumar, Podemos and allies 6.3% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 3.7% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,053 valid votes including 35 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Talamanca de Jarama in size, in Madrid

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