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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Madrid

Talamanca de Jarama: PSOE would keep its majority

Talamanca de Jarama (Madrid, 4,210 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 57.4% of the vote (2023: 59.6%) Majority 99%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.9% of the vote (2023: 20.9%) Majority 0%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.2% of the vote (2023: 7.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Talamanca de Jarama

Talamanca de Jarama is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 4,210 inhabitants, the 90th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 59.6% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 68.6% of the 2,993 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 59.6% → 57.4% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. PPPP 20.9% → 20.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.8% → 14.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. MM-VQ TALAMANCA DEL JARAMASumar, Podemos and allies 6.3% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 3.7% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,053 valid votes including 35 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Talamanca de Jarama in size, in Madrid

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