Moralzarzal: PP would win a majority
Moralzarzal (Madrid, 13,905 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 56%no list with a majority
- 7,661valid votes in 2023 (74% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
9
councillors (2023: 8) · 42.4% of the vote (2023: 43.6%)
Majority 44%
VMP!±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 22.2% of the vote (2023: 21.6%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 13.3% of the vote (2023: 7.6%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 7.6% of the vote (2023: 10.4%)
Majority 0%
CONTIGO±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 5.4% of the vote (2023: 5.2%)
Majority 0%
MEC-PODEMOS-IU-AV−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 5.0% of the vote (2023: 7.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 56% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 43.6% → 42.4% 8 → 9 councillors
- VMP!Local lists 21.6% → 22.2% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 7.6% → 13.3% 1 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 10.4% → 7.6% 2 → 1 councillors
- CONTIGOLocal lists 5.2% → 5.4% 1 → 1 councillors
- MEC-PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 7.5% → 5.0% 1 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.3% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,661 valid votes including 135 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.