Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Los Molinos: PP would keep its majority

Los Molinos (Madrid, 4,699 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
8 councillors (2023: 7) · 57.2% of the vote (2023: 57.4%) Majority 98%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.5% of the vote (2023: 23.7%) Majority 0%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.0% of the vote (2023: 8.0%) Majority 0%
PODEMOS-IU-AV−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.2% of the vote (2023: 8.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Los Molinos

Los Molinos is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 4,699 inhabitants, the 85th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 57.4% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 2. 71% of the 3,662 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 98% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 57.4% → 57.2% 7 → 8 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 23.7% → 20.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.0% → 14.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 8.8% → 6.2% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,599 valid votes including 55 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Los Molinos in size, in Madrid

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