Guadarrama: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Guadarrama (Madrid, 16,921 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 96%no list with a majority
- 8,452valid votes in 2023 (67% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 96% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Guadarrama
Guadarrama is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 16,921 inhabitants, the 40th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 37.2% of the vote and 7 seats; PSOE was second with 3. 67.1% of the 12,591 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 7 of 17.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 37.2% → 35.9% 7 → 7 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 20.2% → 16.9% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 10.2% → 16.6% 2 → 3 councillors
- APPGLocal lists 12.7% → 13.0% 2 → 2 councillors
- VECINOS POR GUADARRAMALocal lists 11.5% → 11.8% 2 → 2 councillors
- PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 6.4% → 3.9% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,452 valid votes including 155 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.