España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

El Boalo: no list would have a majority, PP largest

El Boalo (Madrid, 8,216 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 28.3% of the vote (2023: 28.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 22.9% of the vote (2023: 14.6%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 16.2% of the vote (2023: 19.1%) Majority 0%
BCM EN COMÚN−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 14.3% of the vote (2023: 17.7%) Majority 0%
SP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.9% of the vote (2023: 6.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 28.8% → 28.3% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. VOXVox 14.6% → 22.9% 2 → 4 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 19.1% → 16.2% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. BCM EN COMÚNSumar, Podemos and allies 17.7% → 14.3% 3 → 2 councillors
  5. SPLocal lists 6.6% → 6.9% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. AN-BCMLocal lists 4.7% → 4.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. MÁS MADRIDSumar, Podemos and allies 4.9% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. S/NLocal lists 2.3% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,481 valid votes including 64 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Boalo in size, in Madrid

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