Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

El Álamo: no list would have a majority, PP largest

El Álamo (Madrid, 10,123 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 37.8% of the vote (2023: 39.1%) Majority 7%
PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 27.1% of the vote (2023: 30.9%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.2% of the vote (2023: 13.0%) Majority 0%
ACALA+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.1% of the vote (2023: 9.9%) Majority 0%
PODEMOS-IU-AV−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.3% of the vote (2023: 5.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 93% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 39.1% → 37.8% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 30.9% → 27.1% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 13.0% → 20.2% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. ACALALocal lists 9.9% → 10.1% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 5.7% → 3.3% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,717 valid votes including 69 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Álamo in size, in Madrid

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