Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Daganzo de Arriba: PP would keep its majority

Daganzo de Arriba (Madrid, 10,650 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 49.8% of the vote (2023: 49.8%) Majority 85%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.1% of the vote (2023: 12.5%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 17.4% of the vote (2023: 20.2%) Majority 0%
MM-VQ DAGANZO DE ARRIBA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 8.6%) Majority 0%
IU - PODEMOS - AV−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.5% of the vote (2023: 5.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 15% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 49.8% → 49.8% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. VOXVox 12.5% → 20.1% 2 → 4 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 20.2% → 17.4% 4 → 3 councillors
  4. MM-VQ DAGANZO DE ARRIBASumar, Podemos and allies 8.6% → 6.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 5.8% → 3.5% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 1.8% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,615 valid votes including 69 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Daganzo de Arriba in size, in Madrid

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