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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Madrid

Coslada: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Coslada (Madrid, 80,596 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
11 councillors (2023: 10) · 37.8% of the vote (2023: 37.5%) Majority 14%
PSOE−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 22.0% of the vote (2023: 24.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+3
5 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.0% of the vote (2023: 10.0%) Majority 0%
MM-VQ COSLADA−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 11.2% of the vote (2023: 14.0%) Majority 0%
PODEMOS-IU-AV−2
0 councillors (2023: 2) · 5.0% of the vote (2023: 7.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 86% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Coslada

Coslada is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 80,596 inhabitants, the 15th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 25 seats, and 13 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 37.5% of the vote and 10 seats; PSOE was second with 7. 70% of the 57,287 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 11 of 25.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 37.5% → 37.8% 10 → 11 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 24.6% → 22.0% 7 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.0% → 17.0% 2 → 5 councillors
  4. MM-VQ COSLADASumar, Podemos and allies 14.0% → 11.2% 4 → 3 councillors
  5. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 7.3% → 5.0% 2 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 1.9% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. INICIA O ICYSLocal lists 1.6% → 1.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. ARCOLocal lists 1.0% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. CONTIGOLocal lists 0.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 40,110 valid votes including 556 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Coslada in size, in Madrid

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