España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Colmenarejo: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Colmenarejo (Madrid, 9,473 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 36.3% of the vote (2023: 34.8%) Majority 21%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 19.2% of the vote (2023: 11.1%) Majority 0%
MM-VQ COLMENAREJO±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.1% of the vote (2023: 15.7%) Majority 0%
PALCO±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.5% of the vote (2023: 9.5%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.0% of the vote (2023: 10.2%) Majority 0%
UYCC−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.9% of the vote (2023: 7.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 79% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 34.8% → 36.3% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. VOXVox 11.1% → 19.2% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. MM-VQ COLMENAREJOSumar, Podemos and allies 15.7% → 13.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PALCOLocal lists 9.5% → 10.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PSOEPSOE 10.2% → 8.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. UYCCSumar, Podemos and allies 7.0% → 4.9% 1 → 0 councillors
  7. VECICOLMELocal lists 3.2% → 3.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 3.7% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. IUSumar, Podemos and allies 3.0% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,710 valid votes including 86 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Colmenarejo in size, in Madrid

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