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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Madrid

Chinchón: no list would have a majority, AVANZA CHINCHÓN largest

Chinchón (Madrid, 5,658 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

AVANZA CHINCHÓN±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 32.0% of the vote (2023: 31.5%) Majority 0%
ATYSCH−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.4% of the vote (2023: 18.1%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.6% of the vote (2023: 17.9%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.6% of the vote (2023: 8.8%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.9% of the vote (2023: 17.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Chinchón

Chinchón is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 5,658 inhabitants, the 80th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 AVANZA CHINCHÓN came first with 31.5% of the vote and 5 seats; ATYSCH was second with 3. 66.1% of the 4,206 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: AVANZA CHINCHÓN would be largest on 5 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. AVANZA CHINCHÓNLocal lists 31.5% → 32.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. ATYSCHLocal lists 18.1% → 18.4% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 17.9% → 16.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 8.8% → 14.6% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. PSOEPSOE 17.3% → 13.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  6. JXCHLocal lists 2.8% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,782 valid votes including 37 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Chinchón in size, in Madrid

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