Casarrubuelos: no list would have a majority, MM-VQ CASARRUBUELOS largest
Casarrubuelos (Madrid, 3,961 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 93%no list with a majority
- 2,019valid votes in 2023 (67% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
MM-VQ CASARRUBUELOS−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 35.2% of the vote (2023: 39.7%)
Majority 7%
PP+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 28.3% of the vote (2023: 28.1%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 24.6% of the vote (2023: 15.5%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 5.5% of the vote (2023: 8.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 93% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- MM-VQ CASARRUBUELOSSumar, Podemos and allies 39.7% → 35.2% 5 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 28.1% → 28.3% 3 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 15.5% → 24.6% 2 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 8.0% → 5.5% 1 → 0 councillors
- IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 6.1% → 3.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,019 valid votes including 52 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Casarrubuelos in size, in Madrid
- Talamanca de Jarama4,210 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Quijorna3,683 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Valdeolmos-Alalpardo4,396 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Serranillos del Valle4,509 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Villaconejos3,456 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Robledo de Chavela4,587 inhabitants · 11 councillors