Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Bustarviejo: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Bustarviejo (Madrid, 2,706 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 41.8% of the vote (2023: 41.1%) Majority 26%
IU - PODEMOS - AV±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.4% of the vote (2023: 27.0%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 21.5% of the vote (2023: 23.9%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.5% of the vote (2023: 5.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 74% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Bustarviejo

Bustarviejo is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 2,706 inhabitants, the 106th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 41.1% of the vote and 5 seats; IU - PODEMOS - AV was second with 3. 70.4% of the 2,083 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 41.1% → 41.8% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 27.0% → 23.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 23.9% → 21.5% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 5.1% → 10.5% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,466 valid votes including 42 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Bustarviejo in size, in Madrid

Every municipality in Madrid → · All of Spain →