España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Brunete: PP would keep its majority

Brunete (Madrid, 10,845 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 43.3% of the vote (2023: 44.9%) Majority 47%
ABANZA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 19.0% of the vote (2023: 18.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.9% of the vote (2023: 12.1%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 10.1% of the vote (2023: 13.2%) Majority 0%
GANAR BRUNETE (IU -PODEMOS)−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.2% of the vote (2023: 6.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 53% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Brunete

Brunete is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 10,845 inhabitants, the 49th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 44.9% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; ABANZA was second with 3. 69.8% of the 7,386 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 47% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 44.9% → 43.3% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. ABANZALocal lists 18.7% → 19.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 12.1% → 18.9% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 13.2% → 10.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. GANAR BRUNETE (IU -PODEMOS)Sumar, Podemos and allies 6.7% → 4.2% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 3.0% → 3.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,157 valid votes including 71 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Brunete in size, in Madrid

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