Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Anchuelo: PP would keep its majority

Anchuelo (Madrid, 1,354 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 52.2% of the vote (2023: 54.6%) Majority 82%
PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 25.8% of the vote (2023: 30.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 19.6% of the vote (2023: 12.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 18% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Anchuelo

Anchuelo is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 1,354 inhabitants, the 129th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 54.6% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 64.9% of the 965 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 82% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 54.6% → 52.2% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 30.2% → 25.8% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 12.8% → 19.6% 1 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 626 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Anchuelo in size, in Madrid

Every municipality in Madrid → · All of Spain →